Sunday, April 30, 2023

Dozens Of Miles Of Class III

 This is the 33rd spring snowmelt season we've experienced since moving to Tahoe. We've seen several big years. This beats them all.

The South Fork of the American River is just one of many rivers that carry snowmelt from the Sierra. However, it is unique in that it flows very close to a highway (50) for many miles. Driving down the mountain the other day was an eye-opener.

The river was a continuous roaring torrent of whitewater. Pretty to look at, deadly cold if you did much more than stick your toe in it.


Sunday, April 23, 2023

Lake Tahoe Clarity Best In Years

 If you look at the photo above and ignore the guy sitting on the rock, you will see how clear Tahoe water is.

Unfortunately, Tahoe has been getting less clear for years. Silt in runoff and pollution have been considered to be the main culprits.

In a counter-intuitive way, more snow and its resulting melt waters have not seemed to aide clarity. It had been thought that more runoff meant more silt.

However, starting last fall, the lake has gotten unexpectedly clearer. The scientists at UC Davis who have studied Tahoe clarity for the last sixty years weren't sure why. They've come up with some answers, which are detailed in the Lake Tahoe Clarity report:

https://tahoe.ucdavis.edu/secchi

They think we've had a sudden population boom of a particular zooplankton that eat clarity-robbing algae. Why? Because of a sudden population bust of a particular tiny shrimp that eat the zooplankton. Why have the shrimp's numbers collapsed? From what I've read, they don't really know.

The helpful zooplanton have the lovely names Daphnia and Bosmina. Here's a pic of a zooplankton after feasting on a chunk of green algae.

Daphnia plankton are little, a millimeter or two long, which means their length is about the same as the thickness of a paper clip wire. Think of them as tiny little water vacuums, keeping our lake clear.

The offending shrimp are called Mysis shrimp. And, naturally, they are not native to Tahoe but were introduced by people back in the '60s. 


Mysis shrimp are much bigger than Daphnia plankton. Their length ranges from a quarter inch up to one inch. Still small, but probably terrifying if you are a Daphnia plankton!

When Mysis shrimp eat all the plankton, the algae population goes up, and lake clarity suffers.

The Earth's ecosystems are complex and interconnected. No doubt, the shrimp population will rebound and lake clarity will once again diminish. Let's hope that takes a long time.

Sunday, April 16, 2023

MacGyver Report

In a previous post, I mentioned that I've had a few people comment over the years that Owen McKenna reminds them a bit of MacGyver, a show I'd never seen and a character I knew nothing about. So I decided to give MacGyver a look.

I'm not sure why my books might make people think of MacGyver, but I think it's mostly the fact that McKenna, like MacGyver, doesn't carry a gun and has to come up with clever approaches to dealing with bad guys. Another possible connection is that the names are vaguely similar.

An example of inventiveness comes to mind in Tahoe Trap, when McKenna is trying to save Paco, a young boy who the bad guys want for reasons that I can't say without giving away the story.

Although young, Paco is an expert when it comes to hot chili peppers. McKenna and Paco make up a batch of pepper spray, use Paco as bait to draw in the men who want him, and they blast the bad guys with pepper spray. Definitely a bit of MacGyver there.

We rented the first DVD of MacGyver from Netflix. I found the shows fun and light-hearted, if a bit goofy. They are also a good time travel back 40 years, which was before there were much in the way of computer graphics and fancy special effects. The acting is stiff, and the stories were low budget, but the stories had the basic components to generate interest. (Sympathetic characters in bad trouble.) The first show featured an underground lab in New Mexico that had been bombed. MacGyver had to work his way through a damaged facility to save the scientists.

The second show had a village in Southeast Asia that was under threat from a drug lord who makes the people grow opium poppies. This was set up like a classic Western, with MacGyver riding in to rescue the innocent villagers from the guy in the black hat. You get the idea.

Much of the shows were over-the-top dramatic. (The same could be said of some of my books.) But that was part of the point of the program. (And the point of the whole thriller genre!)

Conclusion? I liked MacGyver. I'm glad to have finally seen a program that was popular enough to have its character's name become a verb to describe clever solutions to problems. ("He MacGyvered his way out of the locked room.") And I'm pleased to have McKenna readers occasionally think of MacGyver when they read McKenna. After all, McKenna does "MacGyver" his way out of some difficulties!


Sunday, April 9, 2023

Record Snowpack, April 2023, 59+ Feet

 The current official measurements detail what we already know. We've got serious snow. In some places, more than they've ever measured.

Department of Water Resources measuring the snow at Phillips, near Echo Summit.

Now that warmer temps have the snowpack beginning to shrink and subside, put a measuring stick in the ground anywhere near Tahoe - our yard, or up on the mountains - you'll still find 10 - 15 feet of snow. More, as you get near the Sierra Crest. The snow walls on the side of Hwy 50 at Echo Summit are 12+ feet high.

The UC Berkeley Snow Lab up on Donner Summit says we've gotten 715 inches of snow over the course of this season. That's over 59 feet of white stuff. No wonder our house is still buried.

Read all about it.

Berkeley Snow Lab:

https://cssl.berkeley.edu/


California Department of Water Resources:

https://water.ca.gov/News/News-Releases/2023/April-23/Snow-Survey-April-2023




Sunday, April 2, 2023

Major Avalanche Danger

 A winter like this presents many problems. I've seen and heard many avalanche stories. If you go into the back country, there is a lot of snow that can slide. From our house, we can look up and see slides near Flagpole Peak. Here is a link to an account of a recent avalanche on Round Top (south of Tahoe near Kirkwood) at the end of March. Harrowing! The skier was buried by a slab avalanche. He was very lucky, and he lived to tell what happened. 

https://www.sierraavalanchecenter.org/observation/2023/mar/20/1345/round-top-peak

Wait for the photos to load and scroll down.

This photo from the the Sierra Avalanche Center. You can see the tracks where the skier was able to dig out and hike down the mountain, having lost his skis and pack. 

In addition to the skier being fortunate to live, we are fortunate to have his story.

Is there a lesson from this story? A few. 

Don't go alone. 

Carry avalanche transceiver/beacons.

Bring avalanche shovels.

Know the risks of the area where you're skiing.

 


Sunday, March 26, 2023

MacGyver? Never Saw It

Multiple times over the years, people have mentioned the show MacGyver in relation to my books. It's a show we've never seen. (I know, we're hopelessly out of touch.) So I never knew why Owen McKenna made people think of that character.

Today I looked it up on Wikipedia and it seems the main common ground is that neither McKenna nor MacGyver carry a gun. Another, less obvious, potential point in common is that McKenna sometime finds unusual and clever ways (like MacGyver's duct tape?!) to deal with problems.

When a recent review mentioned MacGyver again, I went to Netflix and looked it up. They have multiple seasons on DVD (We have no streaming at our house - not enough band width.)

So now we've got the first DVD in the queue. I'll report what I think after I watch the show.


Sunday, March 19, 2023

Sneak Peek, The Next Owen McKenna

 My new book, McKenna #21, is in the publication pipeline!

Number 21 in the Owen McKenna Tahoe Mystery series

In TAHOE FLIGHT, a murderer is targeting Detective McKenna and his Great Dane Spot along with several doctors who are attending a reunion being held in Tahoe. McKenna can't seem to figure out the connection between the murders, one of the methods of which is especially diabolical. However, McKenna does find out that a huge biplane is involved, and it may be used for his and Spot's last ride...

TAHOE FLIGHT will be in stores come August 1st. And of course, you can always preorder it from Amazon, who will also send it out August 1st.


Sunday, March 12, 2023

Whoa, What A Lot Of Snow

 On one side of our house, we access our house through a near tunnel. We step and slide down a vertical wall of snow 15 feet deep.

The other three sides of our house are completely buried.

It's not just that the snow is higher than the second floor. The snow blanket goes across the ground in an even slope up to the top of the roof, windows and skylights buried. You could snowshoe from the street to the top of the roof. 

If you were to snowshoe out into the yard and step off those snowshoes just fifteen feet from the house, you would sink down over your head and not be seen again until sometime in spring.

I love the "water in the bank" that the snowpack provides. But now I'm ready for summer.



Sunday, March 5, 2023

The Washington Post Says Tahoe Got 12 Feet In One Week

We keep making the national news.

Another storm will be in process when this gets posted Sunday, March 5th. Do we have enough snow? Yes.

How do I know? Several ways.

We have a shed where we store shed stuff. It has a gable roof, the top of which is about 14 feet high. From some angles, the peak of the shed roof is just a raised, snowy ridge in the yard. However, where the driveway is plowed near one end of the shed, the top of the roof peeks out.

As you can see in this photo, I won't be getting anything out of that shed until May. Or June. We've been in Tahoe 32 years. Some of those years have had a lot of snow. But we've never seen this much.


Another reason I know we've had enough snow is that the house is buried up to the second floor. The windows that look out on the deck have a view of nothing but a vertical wall of snow that I hope doesn't avalanche down and break those windows. I remember what it's like to grill pizza on the deck in the sun, but only just barely. 

Yet another way I know we've had enough snow, is that the National Drought Monitor has decided that our part of California no longer has a drought. (The white areas on the map.)

Check it out: https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

A good thing, this major snow season. Now I'm ready for uninterrupted sunshine. 

Sunday, February 26, 2023

A Message For Writers

First, an observation, then an epiphany...

Everyone knows that literary one-hit wonders exist (writers who write one book and find attention and success). But one-hit wonders are quite rare. If you go back through history, you'll find that most of the one-hit wonders are soon forgotten. Yet would-be writers still think about writing a single book. You could write the next To Kill A Mockingbird or Gone With The Wind. But your odds of success would be vanishingly small.


In the past, I've said that writers shouldn't think about writing one book. They should think about writing a shelf full of books. If you want success, the need for this approach is increasing. And that is the point of this post. I'm beginning to think that the number of books you have, and the frequency with which you publish them, makes more difference to your success than most anything else. (Yes, the books still need to be good. Yes, you have to have professional covers. And yes, your books probably shouldn't be 140-page novellas masquerading as novels, as the bad reviews reveal that readers are unhappy with what one reviewer called "pretend novels.")

It takes very little research (poking around on Amazon will do it) to see that nearly all successful writers have a dozen or more books. The most successful writers have far more. In my experience, every successful writer I know has at least a dozen books. (Look at your own favorite writers!)

Today, writing a shelf full of books is almost a requirement to find success in the book business.

Here's where my epiphany comes in:

Writing a lot of books generates success. Every writer I know who's written a dozen or more books has found success!

In other words, if you do write many books, you will find success. Put in the work, you will succeed. That can't be said about all fields of complex work. Writing novels is a complex undertaking. But with sufficient practice, it can be learned. In fact, it has to be learned. People aren't born with writing talent. In the same way a coordinated person cannot simply strap on a snowboard and then do a triple twisting, double back flip off the half-pipe, a writer has to learn the skill. Yet writing can be learned. And with enough work, it will be learned.

The idea that every writer should stop thinking about a single book and instead think of many books may be the single most important aspect of finding writing success.

I should probably put in a qualifier and say that it would be best if those dozen books are in a single genre, comprise some kind of series or two, and need to have been written in a relatively short time frame, like a book or two a year or faster. A dozen books strung out over 40 years won't cut it.

It's possible that there are people who've written a dozen books and haven't found success, but I haven't met or even heard of one, at least not one in the self-publishing era. 

Why is this, that simply writing a dozen books will bring you success? I don't know. But it's probably that a dozen books will give you a mixture of substantial writing skills, teach you how the book business works, and, most important, you will spend thousands of hours thinking about what works for readers and then trying to craft your prose to fit what you've learned.

Should you start trying to publish before you've written a bunch of books? I think not. Readers are looking for multi-book authors. They don't pay attention to single-book authors. Why? Probably because there are too many of them. Write one book, you have millions and millions of competing authors. Write a dozen books, you have relatively little competition.

I recently read that fantasy superstar Brandon Sanderson wrote 12 novels before he showed any of them to an editor. Hugh Howey wrote 20 novels before he ventured away from his desk. 

By comparison, I only wrote six, the last two of which became the first two in my series. But that was in another era. If I were starting out these days, I would write a dozen. 

Yet another perspective is to realize that, if you're going to be a success, you will end up writing many, many novels. So why bang your head against the publication wall with just one book? Assume you'll be successful, which means you will write a bunch of books. So write a dozen of them first, and then venture forth into the book world. You will be amazed at the difference as you proceed with a substantial body of work, while you watch others struggle trying to find traction with a single book.

Is writing a dozen books hard? Yes, of course. So is studying to become a neurosurgeon or a lawyer or a competetive snowboarder or opera singer or a Shakespearean actor. All worthwhile skills take enormous amounts of time and effort to acquire. But most serious skills produce great reward, whether financial, emotional, or other.

Writing is one of those skills. If you investigate careers that successful writers have abandoned, you find all manner of occupations. It's worth noting that writers don't quit to become doctors or professors or attorneys. But if doctors, professors, and attorneys find success writing, they often quit their former careers. What does that say about the rewards of writing? It says this: Writing is a very attractive job. So get going on those first dozen books!


Sunday, February 19, 2023

Birds Are Amazing

We all know that birds can astound. I just read a book that explains some of the why and how and where.

The stories you'll end up talking about at the dinner table are numerous. The bird's migrations are nearly unbelievable.

Because birding scientists now have minitature tracking devices they can attach to birds, they've learned that their previous ideas about how far birds migrate are very much understated. There are birds that fly 50,000 miles a year. There are birds that take to the air and don't land for months. There are birds that live in one small area during our spring and summer (breeding season) and then fly halfway around the world each year to another small area in our fall and winter. (And some of them have a second breeding season for the Southern Hemisphere's spring and summer. The precision of their travels is astounding.

Take California's Swainson's Hawk, a big population of which, during our spring and summer, live in a small valley north of Mount Shasta. Come fall and winter, they fly 9,000 miles one way to a small valley in Argentina. As spring returns to the north, the birds fly back. Each year, they repeat. The round trip is 18,000 miles.

There are too many such stories to recount. I'll let you dive into the book and enjoy what you learn.

I highly recommend A World On The Wing. I was amazed. I think you will be too. 





Sunday, February 12, 2023

Just How Old Is My Computer?

 My wife and I have lots of computers. Ten, at last count. Several are old desktops. Some are laptops. Some are old, some new. (You can't beat an old computer for its software, and you can't beat a new little Chromebook for traveling.) 

We keep the old computers because they've got valuable software we still use. (We hate the planned obsolescence of the tech companies, when they quit supporting older software and force people to throw old computers into the landfill! Not only is it a crime against the Earth, it is terribly inconvenient for those of us who don't want fancy tools and just want to use the tools that work! For example, give me back my old email. I don't want fifteen thousand bells and whistles that take forever to load, are filled with bugs and glitches, and often crash. Yes, here's looking at you, Microsoft, and you, GoDaddy for forcing us to use the new Microsoft 365. I just want basic email. But of course, young software engineers seem to universally fall for the concept of putting every possible feature into every possible program.)

We also have an old MacBook for its old Photoshop software. We also have two old Windows 7 laptops we use for general office work. 

But our favorite computer is an old, huge Dell with Windows XP. We bought it in the early 2000s and got a large Epson scanner to accommodate my wife's smaller paintings. 

When we bought the Dell, we'd already heard stories about viruses, so we made the decision to never to put that computer online. Guess what? It's still running. No online access means no viruses and no problems. I had to replace the internal clock battery a couple of years ago, but otherwise the computer's been perfect, 20 years later.

Of course, it's irreplaceable. You can't use the old Epson scanner with a new computer. And, Adobe, in their infinite stupidity, made it so their new Indesign software can't read the old Indesign files. Can you imagine how idiotic that is? So even if I wanted to get the new software, it would do me no good with my old book files. I'd love to have a word with Larry Ellison over that decision. It would be like buying a new car that won't drive on older roads. 

There is one amusing aspect to it. Among other things I do with that old computer is spell check my manuscripts before I convert them into PDF files. The software is good and thorough, and its architecture, though confusing, still works. In the process, I do some "time travel." Old Indesign software doesn't know what a landline is. It doesn't know what a selfie is. It doesn't know what an influencer is. It doesn't know binge-watch or a hundred new terms. The list is long and a bit like a digital archeology dig. But the computer works!

I'm very much hoping our Windows XP computer lasts another 20 years!